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Techno-economic viability assessments of greener propulsion technology under potential environmental regulatory policy scenarios

机译:在潜在的环境监管政策情景下对绿色推进技术的技术经济可行性评估

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摘要

Sustainability of the aviation industry, as any other industry, depends on the elasticity of demand for the product and profitability through minimising operating costs. Of paramount importance is assessing and understanding the interdependency and effects of environmentally optimised solutions and emission mitigation policies.This paper describes the development and application of assessment methodologies to better understand the effects of environmental taxation/energy policies aimed at environmental pollution reduction and the future potential economic impact they may have on the adaptation of "greener" novel technologies. These studies are undertaken using a Techno-economic Environmental Risk Assessment approach. The methodology demonstrated allows the assessment of the economic viability of new technologies compared to conventional technologies, for various CO<inf>2</inf> emission taxation and fuel price scenarios. It considers relative increases in acquisition price and maintenance costs.A study undertaken as a 'proof of concept' compares a Counter Rotating Open Rotor aircraft with a conventional aircraft for short range operations. It indicates that at current fuel price and with no carbon taxation, a highly fuel efficient technology, such as the one considered, could be rendered economically unviable.The work goes on to demonstrate that in comparison to the conventional aircraft, any economic benefits that may be accrued from improvement in fuel consumption through such a technology, may well be negated through increases in acquisition price and maintenance costs. The work further demonstrates that if policy makers want to direct the industry towards greener propulsion solutions, then an increase in CO<inf>2</inf> emission taxation may be appropriate.
机译:与其他任何行业一样,航空业的可持续性取决于产品需求的弹性和通过最小化运营成本实现的盈利能力。最重要的是评估和理解环境优化解决方案与减排政策之间的相互依存关系和效果。本文介绍了评估方法的开发和应用,以更好地了解旨在减少环境污染和未来潜力的环境税收/能源政策的效果它们可能会对适应“绿色”新技术产生经济影响。这些研究是使用技术经济环境风险评估方法进行的。对于不同的CO 2 排放税和燃料价格情景,所展示的方法论可以评估与传统技术相比新技术的经济可行性。它考虑了购置价格和维护成本的相对增加。作为“概念验证”而进行的一项研究将反向旋转开放旋翼飞机与常规飞机进行了短程飞行的比较。它表明,以当前的燃油价格且不征收碳税,一种高燃油效率的技术(如所考虑的技术)可能在经济上不可行。工作继续证明,与传统飞机相比,任何可能带来的经济利益由于通过这种技术改善了燃油消耗而产生的费用,很可能由于购置价格和维护成本的增加而被否定了。这项工作进一步表明,如果政策制定者希望将行业引导至更绿色的推进解决方案,那么增加CO 2 排放税可能是适当的。

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